Charts & Chat - September 8, 2024
Eric Boyce • September 8, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. Third quarter GDP growth looking like 2% annualized
2. Leading indicators have troughed; however, beige book and other indicators suggest slowing economy
3. Labor market continues to slow, as desired by the Fed; inflation and labor trends provide vast cover for interest rate declines this month
4. Service PMI still positive; manufacturing/construction back in decline
5. Yield curve un-inverted this week for the first time in 783 days
6. Stocks typically are weaker in September; also weaker in two months heading into Presidential election (usually get post election bounce tho)
7. increased volatility overall as of late - should create opportunity for small caps and equal weight S&P over time

By Eric Boyce
•
October 19, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. current estimates for AI/tech capital spending, and what are the risks 2. the K-shaped economy visualized, the residential real estate market in the doldrums 3. inflation edging higher, complicated Fed decisions; flat CEO confidents and rising producer prices 4. contribution to equity market reruns, multiple compression, concentration risk, and risk of rising correlations to bond returns given higher interest rates 5. don't be scared of market highs, though, and 5th year bull market expansion returns are generally pretty good. 6. decomposition of yield changes, bond market selloff





