Charts & Chat - November 17, 2024
Eric Boyce • November 17, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. potential trade implications of the Trump 2.0 administration
2. recent inflation reports reflect sticky inflation influenced by a handful of components, overall trend remains down, however.
3. real wage growth positive, delinquencies picking up tho
4. US dollar accelerating; commodity prices are a mixed bag; oil, gasoline stocks are low
5. risk asset valuations & expectations are high, yet volatility remains low - some near term risk there...
6. significant opportunity in small cap and international stocks - just needs a catalyst
7. short term interest rates expected to drop 0.5% next 12 months; overall rates moving higher & reversing earlier 2024 trends

By Eric Boyce
•
July 13, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. believe it or note, we are now in the 6th longest business cycle expansion in US history 2. AI spending should be a continued economic driver on several fronts 3. economic growth stemming from high income households, increased consumption and declining savings rates; deep dive into the wealth effect and notable drivers 4. Three engines of 2026 growth: AI spending, Infrastructure & Manufacturing Capacity Spending, and OBBBA (offset by higher energy costs) 5. generational transfer of "wealth" (i.e. free cash flow) from Hyperscalers to semiconductor companies 6. equity valuations remain high - tremendous surge in earnings expectations driving optimism and valuation gap versus international stocks




