Charts & Chat - June 9, 2024
Eric Boyce • June 9, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
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Gold performance relative to bonds and size of government budget; increase of gold in use as reserve asset
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Labor force participation and debt levels, and increased treasury issuance
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yield curve dynamics and lack of breadth evident in equities; equity risk premium very low relative to bonds
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diversification benefits from other asset classes, foreign markets
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residential home price declines, office vacancy and the looming debt cliff for commercial real estate
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job market in good shape but softening; consumer spending rising but so are delinquencies
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small banks responding to balance sheet issues
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disinflation tendencies in place - need patience

By Eric Boyce
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March 9, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. surprising weak job report; weaker healthcare employment, lower participation, manufacturing employment, productivity higher, unit labor costs in check 2. ISM services sector looking better - orders, employment, order backlog - although Fed's survey of conditions remains sluggish 3. metals prices higher - possible rotation from resources consuming areas of the market (tech) to resources producing (energy, materials) 4. energy price impact of Iran conflict - supply constraints from Strait of Hormuz, shipping prices, higher gasoline prices and low strategic oil reserves 5. potential oil price shocks on inflation and economic growth 6. yield curve shifts up last week, decreased probabilities of short term rate changes - conundrum of lower employment coupled with higher possible inflation




