Charts & Chat - December 1, 2024
Eric Boyce • December 1, 2024
CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses:
1. inflation expectations continue to fall
2. regional Fed surveys of manufacturing are looking better
3. capital spending increasing for non-technology firms
4. valuation gap between Mag 7 tech firms and rest of market; however, that gap is narrowing and breadth is improving
5. interesting that private multiples are contracting at the same time that public company multiples are expending
6. very high equity ownership on the part of the investing public
7. opportunity in foreign and emerging markets although value realization catalysts are varied
8. 2025 forecasts call for anywhere from 8.5 - 16% S&P 500 growth next year on increased earnings and relatively flat multiple growth...

By Eric Boyce
•
March 16, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Potential near and longer term impacts of the energy shock, understanding that sentiment tends to overstate the eventual impact and that most energy shocks are transitory 2. headline and core inflation in line, driven by continued decline in core services and rents 3. consumer spending remains resilient, but 4. tariff-impacted goods and price increases risk inflation - estimates moving higher as we watch costs in the food chain in apparel increase 5. probability of recession moved up a little in the prediction markets and the likelihood of interest rate cuts in 2026 are largely off the table for the time being. 6. equity markets are in sell off mode, especially in consumer discretionary; S&P 500 index not nearly as useful as a diversification vehicle as it used to be due to increasing concentrations 7. interest rates continue to tweak higher, increasing mortgage rates at a time when affordability is tempered. Bond market volatility picking up a little 8. Deep dive into the topic of Retirement Savings - aging populations, use of social security versus pensions; growth of 401k's, yet meaningful percent of workers do not have retirement accounts




