Charts & Chat - August 25, 2024
Eric Boyce • August 25, 2024
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. AI stock earnings decelerating; market leadership may change; 2. revenue growth in line, although some sectors slowing; recession indicators falling; consumption and savings updates by income cohort 3. capital spending patterns look favorable; some pockets of consumer delinquency (auto loans) 4. bulls outweigh bears; individual stock ownership at high point 5. Real interest rates continue to climb; high probability of rate cut next month...question is how much to cut and how many cuts before the end of the year 6. crude oil stocks low, although domestic production is near peak; weaker price outlook

By Eric Boyce
•
March 16, 2026
This week, CEO Eric Boyce, CFA discusses: 1. Potential near and longer term impacts of the energy shock, understanding that sentiment tends to overstate the eventual impact and that most energy shocks are transitory 2. headline and core inflation in line, driven by continued decline in core services and rents 3. consumer spending remains resilient, but 4. tariff-impacted goods and price increases risk inflation - estimates moving higher as we watch costs in the food chain in apparel increase 5. probability of recession moved up a little in the prediction markets and the likelihood of interest rate cuts in 2026 are largely off the table for the time being. 6. equity markets are in sell off mode, especially in consumer discretionary; S&P 500 index not nearly as useful as a diversification vehicle as it used to be due to increasing concentrations 7. interest rates continue to tweak higher, increasing mortgage rates at a time when affordability is tempered. Bond market volatility picking up a little 8. Deep dive into the topic of Retirement Savings - aging populations, use of social security versus pensions; growth of 401k's, yet meaningful percent of workers do not have retirement accounts




